Hey, folks! I still exist. I’m just having another unplanned migraine vacation — same thing yesterday — so I may not get to posting anything today beyond this.
The tweet below has pretty much exhausted my creativity for the day, I think.
You're gonna need a bigger stoat pic.twitter.com/kvTfWKVj8r
— David Futrelle (@DavidFutrelle) June 6, 2017
Oh, and as long as I’m pasting tweets, everyone should see this:
Apparently our Grifter-in-Chief stole, sorry "shifted," more than $100k from a charity for kids with cancer: https://t.co/4DQI83jnDH
— David Futrelle (@DavidFutrelle) June 6, 2017
Consider this an open thread.
Ooglyboggles: the entire election, the Tories claimed a huge advance on Labour. The exit polls are the first indication that the Tories wouldn’t increase their seat count.
What’s the distribution for uncounted seats remaining? Is it more Conservative areas, or more Labour, or a mix? Because as it stands now, a Labour government looks possible!
Generally the Tories pick up seats later on. More rural constituencies so takes longer to get the ballots in.
Looking overall like either hung parliament or very small tory majority.
So basically a £130 million exercise in being exactly where we were six weeks ago.
@ Alan Robertshaw
With only 150 seats left as of 8:08 pm PDT and the Conservatives with 220 votes over the Labour Party’s one vote, it does seem to be going to be as you predicted.
EDIT:
Now as of 8:11 pm PDT
Conservatives 224
Labour party 220
Labour party gained 27 more seats than they had last time and Conservatives had lost 11 seats.
The magic number is 326. That gives a majority over all the other parties combined. In practice the Tories can also add on any DUP seats. The DUP is like the Ulster tory party. Although they’ll probably want something in return.
Guessing even with their Unionist credentials DUP aren’t going to be exactly keen on a hard border with RoI ?
@ Alan Robertshaw
They would have to get more than 2/3’s of the remaining seats in order to get the majority number.
8:27 PDT
Conservatives 251
Labour Party 230
105 seats left.
I don’t know how anybody could read this and not conclude the machines were hacked. Since, y’know, it outright says the machines were hacked.
The media burying the absolute shitballs out of it in favour of demonising the whistleblower for
being feeemale in publicsmacking down their precious pro-Trump narrativebetter ratings[I can’t think of any other option here, please insert your own] doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist.@ matchstick
Wouldn’t have thought so. Apart from the peace process implications there’s also the economic one. People in the border areas often have jobs on the other side.
Interestingly there looks like being a majority of MPs (from all parties) who are either remainers or ‘soft’ Brexiters. So that might affect negotiations. Although officially all the parties stood on a ‘no deals with the other parties’ platform, I think we’ll see a bit of wheeling and dealing which might lead to a common EU negotiating stance.
Fuck, Philip Davies HASN’T lost his seat after all 🙁
@Alan first question looks to be can Tories get enough seats to get over the line with DUP’s help (they currently have 10).
Current BBC prediction has them just making it…
SFHC: Can you cite that part? I’m not seeing it.
The NSA document says that GRU hacked some computers via spear-fishing, and ran an unknown payload. That’s as far as is known.
You’re claiming this is proof that they changed vote totals. It’s a first step towards that goal, but it isn’t proof yet.
50 seats left, Tories need 37 of those seats to ensure complete victory.
@ matchstick
Heh, looking at the results and the number of seats remaining, looks like they need snookers.
(hope you get that)
@ Alan – I’m trying to think of a suitable Snooker pun to respond with but 5.20AM clearly isn’t the time to try that 🙂
633/650 seats declared
307 torie
258 labour
1:08 am (US EDT)
Fudge
@Alan
The conservatives lost by 2 seats. Even if they get every single remaining seat they cannot reach 326 majority. Yay crisis averted I guess?
Woke up at 6 in Derby to discover that we’re not the most marginal seat any more, Labour having regained Derby North by (apparently) over 2000 votes. A good local result was all I was hoping for, so the larger picture of a Tory party in disarray is gravy.
Overall, not the result I wanted, but a far better result than I dared hope for.
UKIP coming third in Boston, of all places – noice.
@WWTH
It seems like we pretty much agree about Supernatural. I definitely wish the cast was more diverse, and especially wish we could have a female character that lasts for more than 2-3 seasons before getting killed(usually horribly) but since the whole point of the show is the relationship between the two brothers while they hunt monsters I can live without diversity as long as the chemistry between the two actors stays awesome.
I think seasons 1 through 5 are definitely the best and the Leviathan season was awful, absolutely the worst. They also could have done a whole lot more with the whole demon Dean thing, I was kind of disappointed with that, but the last two seasons have definitely improved a lot overall. I liked the Men of Letters plots and was amused by the God and his sister essentially act like angsty teenagers plot. And I am dying to find out what happens next season after that insane cliffhanger with the crazy alternate world where the apocalypse did happen. I’m so hoping we spend a bunch of time in that world next season. But I’m babbling now so I’m going to stop.?
Re hacking
Looks like you both know more than me about this one. I havent read anything yet that say this directly connect to russia. But if you can say it hacked, then okay, but second step to prove who hacked. Of course russian hackers exist – all countries have hackers. I seen somewhere that 2/3 of hack attack on US coming from inside. I know they proof hacks before as well – like that british man who hacked in the Pentagon.
But i think i cant clear understand numerobis. You saying you think it true or not true that it russian hackers specifically?
For SFHC – i cant read this article. But if it say they were hacked then they were, okay, at least can be very likely. But there no proof it russian. And also looks like stereotype now to say all hackers from russia who attack US. It very easy to make look like russian hackers. But i would not know why someone would do that, but i cant think also why Russia would want trump to win. Okay he shitty corrupt busness man – but thats not good enough. So he will support Putin? Well not now. Since june last year already trump want to be apart from russia and try to say hillary supporting Russia. That many months before voting and many months before hacking on machines.
So for what? I cannot say trump benefit russia so far with his action. He too unpredictable already. Really russia need no permission from any county- already it very clear after they invade Krim and eastern ukraine. They will do what they like no matter who leading any country.
@ Dan
I went to bed at 6. About to yawn myself through some meetings. I’ll be doing that pretend to cough thing.
@Alan
I had some bad family news yesterday that rather put election stuff on the back burner, so I had a few pints and watched ‘Class’ to avoid the BBC coverage, which I thought was going to be really disheartening watching. I was watching the Lankin invade the planet while everyone else was getting excited by the exit poll. Thus this morning was a bit of a welcome surprise, unlike pretty much every other time I’ve turned the telly on this year!
@ Dan
Oh sorry to hear that. Sympathies.
I had access to a TV last night so I ended up flipping between the Channel 4 coverage and the BBC. In the cases of Brexit, the US election, and the superbowl, I basically stayed up until ‘it was in the bag’, then woke up to something totally different. So this time I decided to see it through to the (almost) death. Still waiting for most of the Cornish results. They hadn’t even started counting in some of the seats. It’s that dreckly thing.
@Alan
Cheers, it’s unwell elderly relative stuff. That, on top of what I was assuming gloomily would be a landslide Tory victory, was enough to put me off watching anything realistic.
‘Dreckly’ is a good word, I’ll use that. My favourite word from your neck of the woods is ‘grockle’; a mate of mine worked at Kent’s Cavern and brought it up to Derbyshire with him.
Great turnout locally too, the figures indicate about 10,000 more people actually voted in Derby North than in 2015. Engagement!
Turnout up, youth turnout especially. Totally knackered (had to start work at 9pm last night :-s) but very very heartened!
Tories threw away a modest absolute majority (17, wasn’t it? – but all their own), and now have a majority of only 2 by depending on another party, not even all their own now.
Overton Window shifts a bit from far right back towards the centre. I think Corbyn said something like “the fight starts here” … 🙂
Well my constituency was almost the last to declare (beaten by one of the other Cornish constituencies and Kensington for some reason). I’m glad to see that my campaigning for the Green candidate has taken their vote from 4,483 at the last election to, er, 831.
Hmm, I’ll have to learn how to ‘meme’.